71% of Manitobans want Harris to defeat Trump in U.S. election: poll
Posted November 5, 2024 11:43 am.
Most Manitobans want to see Kamala Harris become the next president of the United States, and not Donald Trump, polling data suggest.
A new poll from Probe Research found 71 per cent of respondents with a candidate preference would vote for Harris if they could, while 24 per cent would cast a ballot for Trump. Four per cent said they would vote for a third-party candidate.
Eleven per cent of those surveyed said they were undecided.
Women, older adults and Winnipeggers are strong Harris supporters, according to the poll, while Trump has a higher level of support among men, adults under 55 and new Canadians.
Probe Research also found supporters of the Manitoba NDP are much more likely (88 per cent) to want Harris to win. Fifty-one per cent of Progressive Conservatives supporters are rooting for Trump.
What Manitobans want and what they expect will happen doesn’t quite match – 43 per cent think Harris will become the next U.S. president; 27 per cent say it will be Trump; and 29 per cent are unsure.
Meanwhile 73 per cent of those polled believe a Trump victory would have a “very negative effect” on Canada, while 31 per cent said the same of a Harris win.
Note: 800 Manitobans were surveyed from Oct. 28 to Nov. 1. They were members of Probe Research’s proprietary panel, as well as members of another national online panel. Because an online panel is a non-probability sample, no margin of error can be given. A probabilistic sample of N=800 would have a margin of error of ± 3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
